Como vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
ACP
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
VER
1 - 3
COM
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
COM
3 - 1
CAT
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
PAL
3 - 1
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 0
CAT
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
PAL
3 - 0
TAR
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ASS
1 - 1
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
TAR
2 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |