Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
COM
0 - 4
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
BRE
3 - 1
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
ACM
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
COM
2 - 1
VNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 0
SSS
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
SSS
3 - 4
FCC
49%
22%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VNZ
3 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAN
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |