Como vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 0
COM
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
36%
30%
33%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 1
COM
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
54%
27%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
REG
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPA
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
USF
0 - 0
SPA
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 2
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |