Como vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
COM
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
COM
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
COM
7%
18%
76%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
OLG
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
5 - 0
SER
60%
21%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
GOZ
16%
25%
59%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 1
SER
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SER
3 - 4
INV
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |