Como vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
46.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
USA
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
COM
0 - 2
ASF
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
3 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
ASF
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 0
PRO
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PRO
3 - 4
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |