Como vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
COM
0 - 2
VER
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
COM
0 - 2
VER
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
COM
1 - 3
GEN
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VER
0 - 2
PIA
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PIA
0 - 0
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PIA
4 - 4
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIA
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 3
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |