Como vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
ACP
0 - 1
COM
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
COM
1 - 1
ACM
27%
31%
42%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
VER
0 - 1
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
COM
2 - 1
PES
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 0
EMP
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 2
FCC
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
GEN
2 - 1
PIA
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
PIA
2 - 0
MES
50%
27%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |