Como vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
SAL
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
AVE
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TER
4 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
CRO
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
PRG
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 1
LIV
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 4
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
MOD
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |