Como vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
ROM
2 - 1
COM
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
COM
0 - 0
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
JUV
1 - 1
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
COM
0 - 1
NAP
26%
30%
44%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
LAZ
3 - 2
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
FIO
30%
30%
40%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 1
TOR
25%
32%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 0
PRG
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |