Como vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
COM
1 - 1
TER
50%
30%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
50%
29%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 2
COM
45%
31%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
COM
0 - 0
BAR
69%
22%
9%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
COM
2 - 1
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAL
43%
32%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 0
SPA
44%
32%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
AVE
0 - 0
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
PRG
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |