Como vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
TAR
0 - 0
COM
40%
31%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
ARZ
4 - 0
COM
38%
31%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
COM
1 - 4
ATL
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAL
44%
31%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
PIS
1 - 1
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
PRG
2 - 0
ARZ
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |