Como vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
COM
2 - 1
CAT
62%
26%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 0
COM
38%
34%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 2
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
BRE
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
62%
25%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
52%
30%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |