Como vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
VER
2 - 0
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
COM
2 - 0
PRO
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
61%
23%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
COM
0 - 1
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOV
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |