Como vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
COM
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
LEC
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
ACP
2 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
COM
1 - 0
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 5
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
PAR
3 - 1
SSS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
PAR
0 - 1
VIG
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |