Como vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
VIC
3 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
COM
1 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 2
PAR
44%
23%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAL
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
USA
2 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASS
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |