Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
22%
28%
51%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
SAL
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 1
AVE
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |