Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
50%
30%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
BRI
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
COM
1 - 1
ARZ
62%
25%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 0
COM
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
NOV
5 - 3
ASS
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
NOV
36%
32%
32%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |