Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
22.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ROM
0 - 1
COM
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SAM
0 - 1
COM
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
COM
4 - 0
ASL
48%
22%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
PRO
0 - 0
COM
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 2
COM
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ACM
5 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
0 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
VNZ
0 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
NOV
0 - 1
LAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |