Como vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
FER
0 - 3
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 3
SAL
20%
26%
55%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
NAP
4 - 0
FER
80%
15%
5%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 0
NAP
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
NAP
3 - 0
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 1
RAV
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
FER
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |