Como vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.9%
32.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BOL
1 - 0
COM
70%
21%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
COM
0 - 2
JUV
17%
29%
54%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 0
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
COM
1 - 1
FIO
26%
31%
43%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
COM
0 - 1
TOR
28%
34%
38%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NAP
0 - 0
ASC
55%
27%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
44%
32%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NAP
1 - 0
CAG
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
FCC
0 - 1
NAP
45%
31%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
GEN
2 - 0
NAP
36%
33%
31%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |