Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
14%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
USF
0 - 0
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
COM
2 - 2
GEN
61%
26%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
COM
38%
33%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
REG
1 - 3
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
COM
0 - 1
INT
9%
19%
73%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 2
BRE
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
PAL
4 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
REG
2 - 1
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |