Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
19.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
FCC
3 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
REG
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
PRG
3 - 1
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
MOD
3 - 4
ATL
38%
32%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MOD
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAS
74%
19%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |