Como vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
57.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PRG
3 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
COM
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
27%
52%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 1
COM
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
BVB
0 - 1
ACM
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
ACM
25%
24%
50%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
EMP
1 - 1
ACM
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
RMA
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |