Como vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 2
COM
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
COM
1 - 2
PAD
42%
22%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
COM
1 - 5
INT
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 2
COM
71%
16%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ACM
5 - 1
SAM
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
32%
23%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
29%
24%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 2
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ACM
9 - 1
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |