Como vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 0
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
SSS
0 - 2
COM
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
COM
0 - 1
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
COM
0 - 1
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
MES
0 - 0
TAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 2
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |