Como vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
TAR
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
COM
1 - 0
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
MES
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
MES
2 - 0
TAR
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |