Como vs Massese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
BRE
4 - 1
COM
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
TER
0 - 0
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
COM
1 - 2
MOD
53%
28%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
FCC
3 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
MAS
0 - 0
REG
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PIS
2 - 1
MAS
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
MAS
1 - 1
PRG
31%
29%
40%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
ARZ
2 - 1
MAS
72%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MAS
1 - 0
CES
36%
29%
36%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |