Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
PAV
2 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GRO
4 - 2
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
USC
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
COM
46%
29%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
COM
1 - 2
ACS
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
44%
29%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 1
ASL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2004 |
ASL
2 - 2
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |