Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
COM
2 - 1
PRO
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SAM
2 - 1
COM
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
COM
2 - 1
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
54%
22%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 0
COM
55%
21%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
ASL
2 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
INT
2 - 1
ASL
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
ASL
1 - 0
ROM
56%
21%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |