Como vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 1
COM
80%
15%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
PES
0 - 0
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
COM
1 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
COM
0 - 0
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
PES
1 - 0
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASC
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
20%
28%
53%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 0
LEC
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |