Como vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
COM
1 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
REG
0 - 0
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
LAZ
0 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |