Como vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
COM
1 - 2
REG
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
COM
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
COM
0 - 2
NAP
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CTT
2 - 1
COM
22%
28%
50%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
COM
2 - 0
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIS
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 1
CTT
78%
14%
7%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |