Como vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
TOR
4 - 0
COM
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
COM
0 - 0
VNZ
58%
20%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
LAZ
3 - 2
COM
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
COM
1 - 4
ACM
18%
20%
62%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
PAL
3 - 2
COM
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SAM
1 - 1
GEN
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
GEN
2 - 1
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |