Como vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
COM
41%
28%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
COM
3 - 3
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
COM
4 - 2
SAV
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FCS
4 - 3
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FER
4 - 2
PAV
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIC
4 - 1
FER
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
FER
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
LEO
31%
30%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACL
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |