Como vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
NOV
2 - 1
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
BRI
2 - 2
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
COM
0 - 1
CES
55%
27%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
ARZ
0 - 0
COM
43%
31%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASS
64%
24%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
GEN
1 - 1
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 0
MAN
57%
28%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCC
41%
33%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
FCC
2 - 0
USF
54%
28%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |