Como vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
COM
0 - 2
COS
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
COM
2 - 4
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
FCC
83%
11%
6%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 3
PAR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
LEC
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
FCC
3 - 0
SPA
39%
24%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |