Como vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
COM
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
COM
1 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
1 - 2
NAP
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 2
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |