Como vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
COM
0 - 1
NAP
18%
30%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
COM
2 - 3
TOR
32%
30%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
PES
1 - 1
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
COM
1 - 1
ACM
17%
30%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ANC
0 - 0
EMP
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
EMP
3 - 0
PIA
52%
29%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
EMP
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
43%
32%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 0
EMP
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |