Como vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 0
COM
38%
34%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 2
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
COM
1 - 1
BRI
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
54%
29%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
45%
32%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAR
52%
30%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAT
53%
30%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
40%
34%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
BAR
60%
28%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |