Como vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
TAR
0 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
COM
3 - 0
ACM
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
MES
0 - 2
CAT
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 0
ACP
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 1
VNZ
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |