Como vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PES
1 - 1
COM
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1986 |
COM
0 - 2
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1986 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
COM
3 - 1
VER
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CAS
1 - 1
FIO
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRG
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |