Como vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
COM
6%
17%
77%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 1
COM
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
COM
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLG
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
GOZ
13%
24%
63%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
5 - 1
CAS
95%
4%
1%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |