Como vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VBE
0 - 2
COM
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SON
0 - 1
COM
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
COM
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
LEG
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
GSD
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |