Como vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
COM
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
REZ
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SER
3 - 3
COM
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
COM
4 - 1
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 3
COM
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
LEG
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAR
42%
25%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
GSD
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |