Como vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
LAZ
2 - 0
COM
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
USF
2 - 0
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
COM
0 - 2
FCC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
COM
0 - 2
COS
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 3
ASL
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
PAD
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
0 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 2
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |