Como vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
35.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 0
COM
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
COM
1 - 5
INT
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 2
COM
71%
16%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
COM
0 - 0
ROM
51%
22%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
PAD
2 - 2
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 2
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
ASL
6 - 3
PAD
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 2
JUV
37%
24%
38%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |