Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 1
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
USA
0 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
COM
1 - 4
ASS
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 0
LEC
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
LEC
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |