Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
ACP
2 - 0
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
COM
1 - 0
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
COM
1 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
VER
2 - 0
LEC
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
VNZ
3 - 1
LEC
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |