Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
TRI
3 - 0
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAG
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 1
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
0 - 4
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |