Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
25.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
COM
49%
30%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
COM
0 - 0
FCC
56%
29%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
COM
2 - 0
SSB
50%
30%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
COS
2 - 0
COM
51%
29%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
COM
0 - 1
PES
33%
30%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
24%
30%
45%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
CAG
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
USF
58%
26%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |